> For the complete documentation index, see [llms.txt](https://tradefox.gitbook.io/tradefox-docs/llms.txt). Markdown versions of documentation pages are available by appending `.md` to page URLs; this page is available as [Markdown](https://tradefox.gitbook.io/tradefox-docs/about.md).

# About

Prediction market aggregator and prime brokerage. Trade leverage and advanced order execution across all prediction markets.

Tradefox takes its name from Archilochus’s line, revived by Isaiah Berlin and tested against Tolstoy: 

*The fox knows many things; the hedgehog knows one big thing.* 

In today’s markets, the hedgehog is the narrow specialist. Brilliant inside a silo, confident in a single framework, and often right about a small world. But prediction markets are a big world. Contracts sprawl across macro and micro, policy and geopolitics, tech, culture, and human behavior. No single theory holds it all.

Trading these markets rewards fox-like cognition: lateral synthesis, fast Bayesian updating, street smarts, and a willingness to change your mind when the tape disagrees. The fox carries many partial models, tests them against live data, and recombines signals from unlikely places. That is the edge.

Tolstoy, in Berlin’s telling, was a fox who longed to be a hedgehog. Markets create the same tension. We all want one unifying idea. The world refuses. Tradefox leans into that refusal. It operationalizes breadth: cross-domain research, ensembles over monoliths, calibration over certainty, and risk systems that assume regimes shift.

Tradefox is a statement of method. Profit follows from synthesis, humility, and speed, not from devotion to a single elegant theory.